Before 2027
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
No Stored bid–ask91.1%–97.4%Collected: Last trade: 90% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 90%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.
No Stored bid–ask91.1%–97.4%Collected: Last trade: 90% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 90%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$34.9K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Dec 2, 25, 8:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will North Carolina's 3.5% cap on state income tax rate amendment be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Washington Initiative IP26-645 (income tax repeal and prohibition) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will dividend, savings or property income tax rates rise further?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will income tax rates, employee NICs and VAT rates all stay unchanged?
Manifold MarketsWill the US top marginal income tax rate exceed 37% for tax year 2026?
ForecastExWill the US top marginal income tax rate exceed 36% for tax year 2026?
ForecastExRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- This includes an executive order or action directing income taxes for households earning less than $150,000 be waived (or equivalently, that the income tax is foregone, eliminated, or nullified) for any year, or a bill becoming law which reduces the federal income tax to 0% for those earning less than $150,000 for any year.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
