KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 5, 2026, 9:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
At least 20 · —
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Stored price
At least 30 90%Market line of 13 lines
At least 30 90%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.5K
Open interest
$7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 20Spread
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Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleNov 2, 26, 8:00 AM UTCDec 7, 26, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 20
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?
KalshiWill James Talarico outperform the polls?
PredictItWill Ken Paxton and James Talarico debate?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate election: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiTarrant County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiBexar County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiRules
If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 30 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Texas Secretary of State
- A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 20
- If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 20 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 22
- If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 22 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 24
- If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 24 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 28
- If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 28 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 34
- If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 34 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 38
- If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 38 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 26
- If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 26 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 30
- If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 30 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 44
- If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 44 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 32
- If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 32 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 36
- If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 36 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 40
- If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 40 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 42
- If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 42 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
