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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Space
  3. How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

1.0% (24h)SpaceYearly6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 4
Above 4 52%+1.0%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$3.1

Liquidity

$11.9

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

52.0% / 53.0%

Spread

1.9%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Jun 11, 26, 2:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 452%

Rules

If above 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
  • If above 4 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If above 5 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If above 6 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If above 7 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?

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AI data center in space by...?

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$64,501.14+1.59%EthereumETH$1,688.53+1.43%SolanaSOL$69.47+4.25%HyperliquidHYPE$60.64+0.46%XRPXRP$1.15+2.05%DogecoinDOGE$0.0883+1.19%

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Rules

If above 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
  • If above 4 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If above 5 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If above 6 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If above 7 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.