KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 4 50%Market line of 10 lines
Above 4 50%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$35
Open interest
$6.5K
Medium open interestSpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jun 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
LimitlessStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsHow many Starship launches will occur in 2027?
Manifold MarketsStarship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
KalshiRules
If above 4 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:SpaceX
- A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 3
- If above 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4
- If above 4 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5
- If above 5 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6
- If above 6 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 12
- If above 12 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7
- If above 7 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8
- If above 8 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9
- If above 9 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10
- If above 10 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 11
- If above 11 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? · 5-6 57%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — How many Starship launches will occur in 2026? · 3 or more 100%
- Also available on Limitless — How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? · 5-6 50%
- Also available on Kalshi — How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026? · 5 48%