Current implied probability
<5 50%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jun 26, 26, 9:45 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
<550%
Also available on Polymarket
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
0.5%Closed
+0.5%42%
+0.5%37%
12%
+5 more outcomes
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$478.9K
24h Vol$89.2
POLYMARKET
Also available on Kalshi
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
6mo
8%
9%
25%
+7 more outcomes
24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$71.7
24h Vol$0
KALSHI
Also available on Manifold Markets
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
6mo
+8.9%27.8%
-2.6%5.2%
-2.0%1.7%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast51 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$91.1K
24h Vol$19.6K
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Kalshi
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
6.0%6mo
+6.0%87%
+1.0%54%
28%
+7 more outcomes
44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$19
24h Vol$0.4
KALSHIRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.