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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Tech
  3. How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
Manifold Markets

How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?

Tech6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
5 or more 18.9%
Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters

40

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Stale
Aug 2, 25, 1:13 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

5 or more19%

Rules

Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful)

Manifold Markets
  • Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
  • Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
  • I may resolve answers NO early if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
  • UTC is used for determining 2026 start/end

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,652.06+2.46%SolanaSOL$65.15+1.75%EthereumETH$1,650.89+1.90%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.87%BNBBNB$595.25+1.81%XRPXRP$1.12+0.43%

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Rules

Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful)

Manifold Markets
  • Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
  • Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
  • I may resolve answers NO early if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
  • UTC is used for determining 2026 start/end