PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: <$0.70T
Resolved: Aug 2, 2026, 2:15 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 2, 2026, 2:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
<$0.70T 100%+0.4ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$15.4K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+63.0 pts
Market data
Updated 29 days ago
StaleJun 29, 26, 7:32 PMJul 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
<$0.70T100%
$0.70-$0.80T0%
$1.00-$1.10T0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized.
- If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
