KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before April 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before April 2027 84%Leader of 5 outcomes
Before April 2027 84%Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Open interest
$2.1M
High open interestBid / Ask
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Before April 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Dec 31, 25, 3:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Before OctoberLost
Before close: 1% ·
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before April 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsConditional on release of an iPhone Ultra variant, what features will it have?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
PolymarketApple to release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
LimitlessWill Apple release an accessory that converts the iPhone into a VR/AR headset (VisionPro) by end of 2026? [~3 years]
Manifold MarketsRules
If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Before April 2027
- If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before March 2027
- If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before February 2027
- If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before October
- If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
