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When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

TechOne-Off1mo

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Current implied probability

Before 2027 15%+4.0pt

Leader of 3 outcomes

Market quality

80 / 100

High quality

24h Volume

$53.8K

Liquidity

$806.8K

High liquidity

Spread

2.0 pt

Moderate spread

Market data

Updated 20 minutes ago

Dec 31, 25, 3:00 AMOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
**Important information:** This market will resolve on the basis of the release of the baseline iPhone 18 model.
Releases of alternative models, such as the iPhone 18 Pro or Pro Max shall not be considered in the resolution of this market.

Open markets

BTC price on Aug 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

$72,250 or above99%
$73,500 or above99%
$73,000 or above99%

+77 more outcomes

Total Vol: $1.8M
24h Vol: $1.8M

Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?

320-339+4.2pt18.4%
340-359+8.0pt17.5%
300-319-0.8pt15.5%

+23 more outcomes

BTC price on Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

$66,000 or above99%
$66,500 or above98%
$67,000 or above96%

+47 more outcomes

Total Vol: $363.9K
24h Vol: $363.9K

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

75,000 to 79,999.99+0.7pt10.7%
80,000 to 84,999.99-0.3pt10.7%
85,000 to 89,999.99+3.0pt8.7%

+25 more outcomes

Total Vol

ETH price on Aug 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

$1,880 or above99%
$2,280 or above98%
$2,240 or above98%

+37 more outcomes

Total Vol: $202.8K
24h Vol: $202.8K

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
↑$1.25T-0.3pt97%

+10 more outcomes

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for When will Apple release the iPhone 18??: Kalshi prices Before 2027 at 15% as of August 22, 2026.
When does When will Apple release the iPhone 18? resolve?: When will Apple release the iPhone 18? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
How is When will Apple release the iPhone 18? settled?: Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.