KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 75%
Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$10.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
16.0% / 26.0%
Spread
10.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Dec 13, 24, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes25%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 75% | — | $0 | $10.1K | 13 minutes ago | |
 PolymarketMost active88% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $389.4 | $4.8K | 26 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
0.1 ptsClosed
Resolved
No (100%)
100%
0%
29 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$10.6K
24h Vol$389.4
POLYMARKETRules
If Apple announces a Macbook with a built in cellular modem before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$181Jul 218d of dataJul 23
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If Apple announces a Macbook with a built in cellular modem before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.