PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored reference
Yes 98%
Yes 98%Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$154.6
Liquidity
$6.8K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$20.6K
Bid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
+0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Dec 12, 25, 6:29 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Anduril release a product or service with a name that references Smash Bros by the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
PolymarketWill Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
KalshiWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product.
- Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify.
- The resolution source will be official information from Apple.