Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
2031 or later 27.6%Leader of 6 outcomes
2031 or later 27.6%Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.6 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJan 17, 25, 10:57 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on official announcements from Tesla or verifiable reports of the Cybertruck's discontinuation.
- The discontinuation date will be considered the earliest date when:
- Rebrand: The product name is changed to something substantially other than Cybertruck, OR
- Discontinuation: Tesla officially announces the end of Cybertruck production with no plans to restart, OR
- Internal stealth discontinuation: Tesla takes internal steps to permanently wind down production (e.g. permanently stands down factory lines, switches to selling off existing inventory, reassigns all team members, even if they don’t announce publicly), OR
