When will it be possible to routinely fly beyond visual line of sight drones in the US with a permit or certificate?
One-OffRegulation5yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2027 56%Leader of 8 outcomes
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2
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleApr 3, 26, 2:38 PM UTCJan 1, 32, 3:36 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Currently, organisations in the US flying a drone beyond their visual line of sight need a per-flight waiver under Part 107.
- There are proposals in the pipeline for making BVLOS flight easier.
- This resolves YES at the date where an organisation can get a permit or a certificate to fly a BVLOS drone arbitrarily many times in an area on different flight plans, rather than requiring a seperate one for each operation.
- The FAA's Part 108 NPRM as currently drafted would resolve this market YES at the date when the FAA starts accepting Part 108 approvals.
