KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 1:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Adrian Fontes · —
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Stored priceAdrian Fontes 80.5%
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$174.2
Open interest
$4.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Adrian FontesSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 17, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJan 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Adrian Fontes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner
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KalshiMinnesota Secretary of State winner?
KalshiWill Marco Rubio leave the position of Secretary of State by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
If a representative of the Democratic party is elected the Secretary of State of Arizona in the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Arizona Secretary of State
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Adrian Fontes
- If a representative of the Democratic party is elected the Secretary of State of Arizona in the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexander Kolodin
- If a representative of the Republican party is elected the Secretary of State of Arizona in the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.