KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Tie (99%)
Resolved: Aug 25, 2026, 6:34 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Tie
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Tie 98%+71.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$315K
Liquidity
$201.1K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 18, 26, 12:40 AMAug 27, 26, 10:05 PM
Probability Timeline
Tie99%
Al-Khaleej1%
Abha1%
98%
1%
1%
Rules
If Abha wins the Abha vs Al-Khaleej professional Saudi Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Abha vs Al-Khaleej professional Saudi Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Open markets
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.8pt75%
- October 31+8.5pt61%
- September 30+8.0pt41%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.4M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25+0.3pt100%
- August 31+2.0pt94%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- No-1.0pt92.1%
- Yes+1.0pt7.9%
- Total Vol
- $25.2M
- 24h Vol
- $354.8K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Total Vol
- $59.7M
- 24h Vol
- $218.9K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-1.0pt63.4%
- Yes+1.0pt36.6%
- Total Vol
- $9.4M
- 24h Vol
- $246.7K
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+2.0pt67%
- December-1.0pt51%
- September 30,-3.5pt23%
+8 more outcomes
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Al-Ittifaq vs Al Nassr
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Abha vs Al-Khaleej?
- Kalshi prices Tie at 98% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does Abha vs Al-Khaleej resolve?
- Abha vs Al-Khaleej is scheduled to resolve on August 27, 2026.
- How is Abha vs Al-Khaleej settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Abha wins the Abha vs Al-Khaleej professional Saudi Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.