KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Al Nassr (99%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Al Nassr 98%+21.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
≤89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$3.5M
Liquidity
$1.1M
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 36 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 12:40 AMAug 28, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Al Nassr99%
Al-Ittifaq1%
Tie1%
98%
1%
1%
Rules
If Al-Ittifaq wins the Al-Ittifaq vs the named outcome professional Saudi Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Al-Ittifaq vs the named outcome professional Saudi Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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Open markets
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.8pt75%
- October 31+8.5pt61%
- September 30+8.0pt41%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.4M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25+0.3pt100%
- August 31+2.0pt94%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- No-1.0pt92.1%
- Yes+1.0pt7.9%
- Total Vol
- $25.2M
- 24h Vol
- $354.8K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Total Vol
- $59.7M
- 24h Vol
- $218.9K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-1.0pt63.4%
- Yes+1.0pt36.6%
- Total Vol
- $9.4M
- 24h Vol
- $246.7K
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+2.0pt67%
- December-1.0pt51%
- September 30,-3.5pt23%
+8 more outcomes
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Al-Ittifaq vs Al Nassr?
- Kalshi prices Al Nassr at 98% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does Al-Ittifaq vs Al Nassr resolve?
- Al-Ittifaq vs Al Nassr is scheduled to resolve on August 28, 2026.
- How is Al-Ittifaq vs Al Nassr settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Al-Ittifaq wins the Al-Ittifaq vs the named outcome professional Saudi Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.