KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2027 22%-4.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$144.2
Liquidity
$36.1K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 24, 26, 7:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by which date?
PolymarketWill the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by which date?
PolymarketWill the House pass a reconciliation bill by Sept. 30?
PredictItWhen will a reconciliation bill become law?
KalshiWill the House pass any articles of impeachment by the end of 2026?
PredictItWill the House pass additional defense funding?
KalshiRules
If a reconciliation bill passes the House before August 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- Such bills typically begin with the phrase: “To provide for reconciliation pursuant to…"
- If a reconciliation bill passes the House before September 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a reconciliation bill passes the House before October 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a reconciliation bill passes the House before November 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a reconciliation bill passes the House before December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will the House pass a reconciliation bill??
- Kalshi prices Before Jan 1, 2027 at 22% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? resolve?
- When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a reconciliation bill passes the House before August 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.