KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored price
Yes 50%
Yes 50%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$1.7
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Market data
Updated 31 minutes ago
Oct 22, 26, 10:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsIf the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
Manifold MarketsWill trump sign a 'national abortion ban' by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
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PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Sejm of the Republic of PolandSenate of the Republic of PolandChancellery of the President of the Republic of PolandJournal of Laws of the Republic of Poland (Dziennik Ustaw)
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness The following do NOT constitute enactment: Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges. For this market, a law easing Poland's abortion ban means a statute of Poland that adds or widens a statutory ground on which abortion is legal, such as severe and irreversible fetal impairment or abortion on request, or that removes criminal liability, in whole or in part, for abortion or for assisting one. It may contain other provisions and need not legalise abortion on request. Guidelines or regulations of the Ministry of Health, the National Prosecutor's Office or the National Health Fund, rulings of the Constitutional Tribunal or any court, and measures that only change hospital procedures, conscience-clause rules or funding without adding or widening a ground or removing criminal liability do NOT count. Passage by the Sejm or Senate alone, and a bill the President has vetoed or referred to the Constitutional Tribunal without the Sejm overriding or the President signing it, do NOT count.
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.