KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 2:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Mark Sutcliffe 98%+0.3ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Mark Sutcliffe 98%+0.3ptMarket quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$615.3
Open interest
$18.5K
Medium open interestSpread
0.7 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleDec 16, 25, 3:00 PM UTCOct 26, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Mark Sutcliffe98%
Alex Lawson1%
Neil Saravanamuttoo1%
Catherine McKenney0%
Jeff Leiper0%
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PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:City Clerk of the City of Ottawa
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Mark Sutcliffe
- If Mark Sutcliffe wins the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alex Lawson
- If Alex Lawson wins the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Neil Saravanamuttoo
- If Neil Saravanamuttoo wins the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Catherine McKenney
- If Catherine McKenney wins the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jeff Leiper
- If Jeff Leiper wins the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.