KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 75% 99%Leader of 9 outcomes
Above 75% 99%Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$22.1K
Liquidity
$22.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 8:00 PM UTCSep 27, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Sep 26, 2026 is above 66%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart.
- At 10:00 AM ET on Sep 27, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Sep 26, 2026.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Sep 26, 2026 is above 69%, then the market resolves to Yes.