Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.1%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleNov 3, 25, 2:03 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 8:43 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the complete source code of Minecraft: Java Edition is released under an open source license (OSI-approved or equivalent) that permits free use, modification, and redistribution.
- The source code must be publicly available in its entirety, not merely select libraries or components.
- Resolution can be verified via official Minecraft/Microsoft announcements or the official GitHub repository.
- This market resolves NO if the game remains closed-source or if only partial libraries continue to be released without the full codebase becoming open source.
- Original Minecraft creator Notch stated he would release the game source code as open source once sales start dying and a minimum time has passed.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,750 or above99%
- $70,000 or above99%
- $73,000 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $985.8K
- 24h Vol
- $976.7K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $70,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $65,000 or above98%
- $64,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $945.2K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 200-219+4.0pt27.4%
- 180-199+2.0pt26.5%
- 220-239+4.0pt19.6%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $76,000 or above99%
- $76,300 or above98%
- $76,400 or above98%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $162.2K
- 24h Vol
- $153.8K
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.7pt13.5%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-0.5pt12.5%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99-0.2pt12.5%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Chicago+19.0pt95%
- Miami+16.0pt69%
- Seattle+22.0pt30%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $149.5K
- Elon Musk # tweets September 14 - September 16, 2026?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- ETH price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 15, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026? resolve?
- Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria