Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.1%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Nov 3, 25, 2:03 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 8:43 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be a Minecraft Java Marketplace by the end of 2027?
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FutuurRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the complete source code of Minecraft: Java Edition is released under an open source license (OSI-approved or equivalent) that permits free use, modification, and redistribution.
- The source code must be publicly available in its entirety, not merely select libraries or components.
- Resolution can be verified via official Minecraft/Microsoft announcements or the official GitHub repository.
- This market resolves NO if the game remains closed-source or if only partial libraries continue to be released without the full codebase becoming open source.
- Original Minecraft creator Notch stated he would release the game source code as open source once sales start dying and a minimum time has passed.
