Will the US and/or China ban at least two open-source AI models before 2027?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the US and/or China ban at least two open-source AI models before 2027??

Manifold Markets prices No at 58.2% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will the US and/or China ban at least two open-source AI models before 2027? resolve?

Will the US and/or China ban at least two open-source AI models before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will the US and/or China ban at least two open-source AI models before 2027? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2026-07-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 'and/or' means a combined total of at least two models must be banned across both countries.

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