KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Nov 11, 2026, 6:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 27.8% · —
Loading selected book…
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Stored price
Above 31.2% 57.5%Market line of 9 lines
Above 31.2% 57.5%Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$35.9K
Open interest
$39.2K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 27.8%Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 9, 26, 5:00 PM UTCNov 16, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 27.8%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If DeepSeek scores above 31.2% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Nov 9, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 27.8%
- If DeepSeek scores above 27.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 29.2%
- If DeepSeek scores above 29.2% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 29.9%
- If DeepSeek scores above 29.9% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 30.3%
- If DeepSeek scores above 30.3% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 30.8%
- If DeepSeek scores above 30.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 31.2%
- If DeepSeek scores above 31.2% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 31.7%
- If DeepSeek scores above 31.7% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 32.4%
- If DeepSeek scores above 32.4% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 33.8%
- If DeepSeek scores above 33.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.