KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:52 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
DUP · —
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Stored price
DUP 47%Leader of 6 outcomes
DUP 47%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
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Open interest unknownBid / Ask
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DUPSpread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 2:00 PM UTCMay 5, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · DUP
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the Democratic Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Electoral Office for Northern Ireland
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. The party awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats in the Northern Ireland Assembly, counting the members declared elected across the 18 constituencies in the Electoral Office for Northern Ireland's final certified results, resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by first-preference votes or vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published during the count Only the next general election to the Assembly counts. Seats in the local council elections held the same day, and any by-election or later co-option, do NOT count Seats count for the party under whose name the member was elected. Later defections do not change the allocation If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.
Rules for each outcome
- DUP
- If the Democratic Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- UUP
- If the Ulster Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sinn Féin
- If Sinn Féin finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alliance
- If the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SDLP
- If the Social Democratic and Labour Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- TUV
- If Traditional Unionist Voice finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
