KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 95%+8.0pt
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$530.6
Liquidity
$9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
95.0% / 98.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 9:45 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?
KalshiWill Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
Manifold MarketsWill Netanyahu visit New York City by which date?
PolymarketWill Netanyahu visit New York City by which date?
LimitlessWill Benjamin Netanyahu remain the leader of the Likud party for the next Israeli legislative elections? 🗳️
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Benjamin Netanyahu has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of New York City before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The GuardianFox NewsSemaforThe InformationCNBCthe Associated PressThe Wall Street JournalCNNPoliticoMSNBCThe Washington PostReutersThe New York Times
- The following do NOT constitute a visit:
- Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period
- For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one.
- Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit.
- Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
Open markets
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.1pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $29.9M
- 24h Vol
- $807.7K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Total Vol
- $8M
- 24h Vol
- $125K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $121.5K
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October? resolve?
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Benjamin Netanyahu has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of New York City before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.