KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 13, 2026, 1:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
PSOE · —
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Stored price
PSOE 69%Leader of 3 outcomes
PSOE 69%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
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Open interest unknownBid / Ask
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PSOESpread
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Market data
Updated 43 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 2:00 PM UTCMay 22, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · PSOE
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Madrid regional election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Junta Electoral Provincial de Madrid
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. Rank is determined by seats: the party awarded the 2nd-highest number of Assembly of Madrid seats in the final results certified by the Junta Electoral Provincial de Madrid resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published on election night Only the election to the Assembly of Madrid counts. Seats won in the municipal elections held the same day do NOT count Seats won by a joint list that runs under a party's name count toward that party (for example, seats won by the Más Madrid list that includes Verdes Equo count toward Más Madrid) If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.
Rules for each outcome
- PSOE
- If the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Madrid regional election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Más Madrid
- If Más Madrid finishes in 2nd place in the next Madrid regional election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vox
- If Vox finishes in 2nd place in the next Madrid regional election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.