KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
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Current implied probability
Before Jan 29, 2028 72%Leader of 5 outcomes
Before Jan 29, 2028 72%Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$2.2K
Low open interestMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 1:38 PM UTC
Trends
Before Jan 29, 202872%
Before Apr 1, 202755%
Before Jan 1, 202752%
Before Nov 1, 20268%
Before Oct 1, 2026Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
West Virginia governor winner? (2028)
KalshiWill Jim Justice run for Governor of West Virginia in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWest Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketWest Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketWest Virginia vs Texas Tech
KalshiWill West Virginia Amendment 1 (citizenship requirement to vote) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Jim Justice must publicly announce his campaign for the announcement to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for Governor of West Virginia in 2028. An exploratory committee, statement of interest, private decision, or third-party speculation without a formal announcement does NOT qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts. The announcement must come from Jim Justice or his official campaign.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 29, 2028
- If Jim Justice has announced that they will run for Governor of West Virginia in 2028 before Jan 29, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Jim Justice has announced that they will run for Governor of West Virginia in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Jim Justice has announced that they will run for Governor of West Virginia in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Jim Justice has announced that they will run for Governor of West Virginia in 2028 before Nov 1, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Jim Justice has announced that they will run for Governor of West Virginia in 2028 before Oct 1, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.