KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 7% 46.4%Leader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$3.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 9:00 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent
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KalshiHolborn and St Pancras by-election winner?
KalshiHolborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner
PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras By-Election - Winner
SmarketsHolborn and St Pancras By-Election - Labour to Win
SmarketsRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Reform UK in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:London Borough of Camden
- The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
- Write-in votes in the result are included.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent?
- Kalshi prices At least 7% at 46% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent resolve?
- Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Reform UK in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.