KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Labour Party (95%)
Resolved: Oct 9, 2026, 5:05 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 9, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Green Party6%
Labour Party95%
Labour PartyWon
Green PartyLost
Conservative PartyLost
Reform UKLost
Liberal DemocratsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:London Borough of Camden
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.