KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Labour Party 82.2%+5.0ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Labour Party 82.2%+5.0ptMarket quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$200
Open interest
$9.5K
Medium open interestSpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 4:00 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 2nd place
KalshiHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent
KalshiHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
KalshiHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Green Party vote percent
KalshiWhich party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Manifold MarketsHolborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?
PolymarketRules
If Labour Party wins the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:London Borough of Camden
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Labour Party
- If Labour Party wins the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Green Party
- If Green Party wins the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Reform UK
- If Reform UK wins the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Conservative Party
- If Conservative Party wins the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Liberal Democrats
- If Liberal Democrats wins the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.