KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Emmanuel Macron 64.6%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$133.3
Liquidity
$8K
Medium liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 7:30 PM UTCJan 1, 45, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Canada at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCThe InformationBloombergThe Washington PostAPAxiosThe New York TimesNBCPolitico
- The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title.
- An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient.
- In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.
- If the individual holding the title of President of France at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the individual holding the title of President of the United States at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which G7 leader will leave office next??
- Kalshi prices Emmanuel Macron at 65% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Which G7 leader will leave office next? resolve?
- Which G7 leader will leave office next? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2045.
- How is Which G7 leader will leave office next? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Canada at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.