KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Emmanuel Macron · —
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Stored price
Emmanuel Macron 73.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Emmanuel Macron 73.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$17.9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Emmanuel MacronSpread
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Market data
Updated 42 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 7:30 PM UTCJan 1, 45, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Emmanuel Macron
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the individual holding the title of President of France at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCThe InformationBloombergThe Washington PostAPAxiosThe New York TimesNBCPoliticoReutersCBSCNN
- The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.
Rules for each outcome
- Emmanuel Macron
- If the individual holding the title of President of France at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Giorgia Meloni
- If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Italy at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Friedrich Merz
- If the individual holding the title of Chancellor of Germany at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donald Trump
- If the individual holding the title of President of the United States at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Andy Burnham
- If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mark Carney
- If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Canada at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sanae Takaichi
- If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Japan at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
