KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2027 29%
Before Jan 1, 2027 29%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$9K
Open interest
$6.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jan 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 18, 26, 11:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the French government declares a state of emergency (état d'urgence) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only reporting from Bloomberg News, Reuters, the Associated Press, or Le Monde qualifies. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify unless the new publication explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of its publication date. Republishing of content from other sources qualifies only if hosted on the outlet’s official platform with that outlet identified as publisher. A state of emergency (état d'urgence) is one declared by decree of the President of France in the Council of Ministers under Law No. 55-385 of April 3, 1955, for all or part of French territory, including overseas territories. It counts when the decree is adopted, not when it is merely announced, requested or under consideration. Curfews, protest bans and other measures taken by prefects or mayors, Article 16 or state-of-siege powers, a state of health emergency (état d'urgence sanitaire), and natural-disaster declarations do not count.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the French government declares a state of emergency (état d'urgence) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If the French government declares a state of emergency (état d'urgence) after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.