KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2028 71%Leader of 7 outcomes
Before Jan 1, 2028 71%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$886.3
Low open interestMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 8, 26, 12:00 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 1:39 PM UTC
Trends
Before Jan 1, 202871%
Before Jul 1, 202762%
Before Oct 1, 202761%
Before Apr 1, 202756%
Before Feb 1, 202738%
Before Jan 1, 202723%
Before Oct 1, 2026Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
KalshiWill Lisa Cook leave the office of Federal Reserve governor in 2026?
FutuurWill Trump nominate someone bizarre to the Supreme Court?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump nominate Peter Thiel to serve on the Supreme Court of the United States during Trump II?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?
KalshiWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028. then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026. then the market resolves to Yes.
