Current implied probability
Judy Shelton 5%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$104
Liquidity
$107.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.2% / 9.0%
Spread
73.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Jan 5, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Judy Shelton5%
Volume trend
$104Jul 322d of dataJul 26
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?
$0Before Oct 1, 2026: 11%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?
$7.7KBefore Jul 1, 2027: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
$5.2KBefore Jan 1, 2027: 26%KALSHI
KALSHI
PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]
$250Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$0Kevin Warsh: 93%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
$0Yes: 71%FUTUUR
FUTUURActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRules
If Kevin Hassett is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
- The nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.
- If Christopher Waller is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Judy Shelton is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Michelle Bowman is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rick Rieder is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.