KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Beth Hammack 43%-1.0ptLeader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$22.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 29, 26, 9:00 PM UTCSep 16, 26, 5:59 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will exactly one FOMC member dissent at the September 16, 2026 Fed meeting?
ForecastExWill exactly zero FOMC members dissent at the September 16, 2026 Fed meeting?
ForecastExWill exactly three FOMC members dissent at the September 16, 2026 Fed meeting?
ForecastExHow many dissenting votes at the September Fed meeting?
KalshiHow many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
PolymarketHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
PolymarketRules
If the named outcome formally dissented at the September 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate43.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.5M
- 24h Vol
- $2.5M
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-2.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $632.2K
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.9pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt2%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting??
- Kalshi prices Beth Hammack at 43% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting? resolve?
- Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome formally dissented at the September 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.