ForecastExLimited verified dataData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 9:17 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityNo 86%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
Number of Dissenting FOMC Members September 16 2026.
- Will exactly one FOMC member dissent at the September 16, 2026 Fed meeting? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.
Open markets
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate43.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.5M
- 24h Vol
- $2.5M
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-2.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $632.2K
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.9pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt2%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will exactly one FOMC member dissent at the September 16, 2026 Fed meeting??
- ForecastEx prices No at 86% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will exactly one FOMC member dissent at the September 16, 2026 Fed meeting? resolve?
- Will exactly one FOMC member dissent at the September 16, 2026 Fed meeting? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Will exactly one FOMC member dissent at the September 16, 2026 Fed meeting? settled?
- ForecastEx settles this market as follows: Number of Dissenting FOMC Members September 16 2026.