KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityExactly 4.8% 5%-1.0%Leader of 23 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$100
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 7.0%
Spread
75.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Dec 15, 25, 3:00 PMOct 2, 26, 12:29 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Exactly 4.8%5%
Volume trend
$100Jul 95d of dataJul 25
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MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Rules
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.4% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.5% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.6% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.7% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.8% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.