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Data as of Nov 14, 2026, 6:57 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Jul 1, 2027 51%Leader of 4 outcomes
Before Jul 1, 2027 51%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$13.8
Open interest
$1.2K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Nov 6, 26, 9:00 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jul 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Donald Trump publicly criticizes JD Vance before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fox NewsThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCNew York TimesCBSthe White HouseThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersBloomberg Newsthe Associated PressPoliticoDonald Trump's official social media accountsTrump OrganizationSave America PACThe InformationMSNBCNBC
- For purposes of this Contract, "publicly criticize" means Donald Trump must: Make a statement that explicitly expresses disapproval, negative judgment, or unfavorable assessment of JD Vance The criticism must be directed at JD Vance by name, title, or clear contextual reference that a reasonable observer would understand refers to JD Vance in a clear and unambiguous manner The statement must be negative in substance, not merely mentioning JD Vance in a neutral or positive context Criticism must be made by Trump personally, not through official statements that don't quote him directly.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes JD Vance before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes JD Vance before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes JD Vance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes JD Vance before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.