KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 50% · —
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Stored price
Above 50% 56%Market line of 7 lines
Above 50% 56%Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$22.5
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 50%Spread
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Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 9:00 PM UTCNov 6, 26, 4:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 50%
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Rules
If the Democratic share of the vote among men in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The value is the percentage shown in the Democratic (or Dem.) column of the aggregate Men (or Male) row in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 50%
- If the Democratic share of the vote among men in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 40%
- If the Democratic share of the vote among men in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 40%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 42%
- If the Democratic share of the vote among men in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 42%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 44%
- If the Democratic share of the vote among men in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 44%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 46%
- If the Democratic share of the vote among men in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 46%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 48%
- If the Democratic share of the vote among men in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 48%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 52%
- If the Democratic share of the vote among men in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 52%, then the market resolves to Yes.
