KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Ciro Gomes 67.7%+2.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$352.5
Liquidity
$7.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 6:36 PM UTCOct 4, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Okinawa gubernatorial election winner?
KalshiWhich Party will win the 2027 Kentucky Gubernatorial Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Kentucky vote to limit gubernatorial election-period pardons?
KalshiNew Mexico Gubernatorial Election Winner
SmarketsWill Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:TRE-CE
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Ceará gubernatorial election winner??
- Kalshi prices Ciro Gomes at 68% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Ceará gubernatorial election winner? resolve?
- Ceará gubernatorial election winner? is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2027.
- How is Ceará gubernatorial election winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.