Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublican 70.9%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJan 8, 26, 12:15 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which Party will win the 2027 Kentucky Governor election?
Manifold MarketsCeará gubernatorial election winner?
KalshiWill Kentucky vote to limit gubernatorial election-period pardons?
KalshiWhich party will win the Kentucky Senate Seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNew Mexico Gubernatorial Election Winner
SmarketsWill Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Current Democratic Governor Andy Beshear is term-limited.
- Kentucky is considered a deeply red state with trump getting 64.47% of the vote in 2024, but it will be an off year election and a state election which tend to be less polarized.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Party will win the 2027 Kentucky Gubernatorial Election??
- Manifold Markets prices Republican at 71% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which Party will win the 2027 Kentucky Gubernatorial Election? resolve?
- Which Party will win the 2027 Kentucky Gubernatorial Election? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Which Party will win the 2027 Kentucky Gubernatorial Election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Current Democratic Governor Andy Beshear is term-limited.