KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above $230,000 · —
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Stored price
Above $235,000 10.5%Market line of 7 lines
Above $235,000 10.5%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$51
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above $230,000Spread
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Market data
Updated 44 minutes ago
Aug 29, 26, 9:30 PM UTCMay 21, 27, 1:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above $230,000
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PolymarketRules
If the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is above $235,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:National Association for Law Placement
- The Underlying is the national median first-year associate base salary reported for the largest law-firm-size category in NALP’s 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey. “Largest law-firm-size category” means the category in NALP’s national firm-size breakdown with the highest minimum number of lawyers. For example, the largest category in the 2025 survey was firms with more than 700 lawyers. If NALP changes its firm-size categories in the 2027 survey, the largest category reported by NALP will be used. Resolution will use base salary only. Bonuses, benefits, summer-associate compensation, clerkship bonuses, total compensation, and inflation adjustments will not be considered. The median reported by NALP will be used without independent recalculation or rounding. Resolution will use the first official NALP publication that reports the applicable 2027 median. Later revisions or corrections will not affect resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Above $230,000
- If the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is above $230,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $235,000
- If the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is above $235,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $240,000
- If the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is above $240,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $245,000
- If the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is above $245,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $215,000
- If the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is above $215,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $220,000
- If the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is above $220,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $225,000
- If the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is above $225,000, then the market resolves to Yes.