PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 10:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 98%
No 98%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$84.2
Liquidity
$880
Low liquidityOpen interest
$3.9K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
3
7d Change
-1.3 pts
Market data
Updated 56 minutes ago
LaggingDec 3, 25, 12:09 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
In What Year will the Costco Hotdog Combo cost more than $1.50?
Manifold MarketsWill the price of a Costco hot dog Combo raise above $1.50 by Star Wars Day 2028? (May 4th)
Manifold MarketsWill Costco still offer a $1.50 hot dog and soda combo at US locations in 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Costco raise the price of the hot dog combo before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWould Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?
Manifold MarketsWould Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?
Manifold MarketsRules
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs.
- As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
