KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Yes 80.5%
Yes 80.5%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$10
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
—
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 8, 26, 2:00 AM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Yes
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Bay Area transit funding measure RTM pass in November
Manifold MarketsWill transit measure on the ballot pass?
Manifold MarketsWill the Massachusetts all-party primary voting format ballot measure pass?
Manifold MarketsWill Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsBay Area Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030
KalshiBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:the Metropolitan Transportation CommissionSan Francisco Department of ElectionsAlameda County Registrar of VotersContra Costa County Clerk-Recorder-Elections DepartmentSan Mateo County Assessor-County Clerk-Recorder and ElectionsSanta Clara County Registrar of Voters
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. This market refers to Measure RTM, the Regional Transit Measure on the Nov 3, 2026 ballot in Alameda, Contra Costa, San Francisco, San Mateo and Santa Clara counties. Whether it passes is determined by the combined vote across all five counties, not county by county.
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.