KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 39.4 to 39.6 (95%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
39.4 to 39.6 86.4%+48.0ptLeader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$31.4K
Liquidity
$95.5K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 14, 26, 3:20 PMAug 21, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
38.8 to 39.028%
Below 38.84%
39.1 to 39.33%
39.4 to 39.695%
39.7 to 39.93%
86.4%
4.5%
2.7%
2.7%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Rules
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:RealClearPolitics
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.8 and 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.1 and 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.4 and 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.7 and 39.9% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $187.5M
- 24h Vol
- $987.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt4.9%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.5M
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $690.7M
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $58.7M
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 39.4 to 39.6 at 86% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026? resolve?
- Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.