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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. US Politics
  3. Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?
Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?

Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?

US PoliticsAIOne-Off19d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026 28%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$5.9

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

17.0% / 23.0%

Spread

35.3%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jun 1, 26, 9:00 PMJul 1, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Before Jul 1, 202628%

Rules

If the Department of Defense or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the Department of Defense or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Department of Defense or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the Department of Defense or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the Department of Defense or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Department of Defense or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.