KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 10:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2027 49%
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jun 1, 26, 9:00 PM UTCAug 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
49%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
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PolymarketOn which dates will the US government be shutdown?
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the Department of Defense or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $808.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $342.3K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.2%
- Marco Rubio20.2%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $338.6K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban??
- Kalshi prices Before Jan 1, 2027 at 49% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban? resolve?
- Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban? is scheduled to resolve on August 1, 2026.
- How is Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Department of Defense or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.