GeminiLimited verified dataCurrent implied probability
Democratic Party 83.5%
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$583
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
83.0% / 84.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Dec 23, 25, 4:08 PMFeb 1, 27, 12:00 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democratic Party84%
Compare venues· Democratic Party
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall96% match · auto | High | 83% | 0pt | $54.4K | $11.6M | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
 Polymarket67% match · linked | High | 87% | +4pt | $23.5K | $765.8K | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
| GeminiThis page | Medium | 84% | 0pt | $583 | $0 | 15 minutes ago | |
 Limitless67% match · linked | Low | 86% | +3pt | $0 | $0 | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
 PredictIt65% match · linked | — | 78% | -5pt | — | — | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Which party will win the U.S. House?
6mo
83%
17%
94 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$18.9M
24h Vol$54.4K
KALSHIAlso available on Polymarket
Which party will win the House in 2026?
1.0 pts3mo
+1.0pt86.1%
-1.0pt13.9%
0%
+6 more outcomes
88 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$8.8M
24h Vol$23.5K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Limitless
Which party will win the House in 2026?
3mo
85.1%
14.9%
29 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSAlso available on PredictIt
Which party will win the House in the 2026 election?
1.0 pts1y
-1.0pt78%
-1.0pt22%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRules
Which party will win the U.S.
- House in 2026?
- This contract resolves based on whether the Democratic Party controls the U.S.
- House of Representatives following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
- Control is defined as holding the most seats in the House based on final, official results.
- A majority consists of at least 218 seats.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.1k86.0%POLYMARKETWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? — NoXAE12Archangel11h ago
POLYMARKETWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? — NoXAE12Archangel11h ago$7.4k84.0%KALSHIRepublican Party — No2d ago
KALSHIRepublican Party — No2d ago$2.5k83.0%KALSHIRepublican Party — No3d ago
KALSHIRepublican Party — No3d ago$3.4k17.0%KALSHIRepublican Party — Yes3d ago
KALSHIRepublican Party — Yes3d ago$14.8k84.0%KALSHIRepublican Party — No4d ago
KALSHIRepublican Party — No4d ago$6.2k84.0%KALSHIRepublican Party — No4d ago
KALSHIRepublican Party — No4d ago$1.5k84.0%KALSHIRepublican Party — No4d ago
KALSHIRepublican Party — No4d ago$4.8k85.0%POLYMARKETWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? — NoXAE12Archangel6d ago
POLYMARKETWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? — NoXAE12Archangel6d agoRelated Markets
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Which party will win the U.S.
- House in 2026?
- This contract resolves based on whether the Democratic Party controls the U.S.
- House of Representatives following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
- Control is defined as holding the most seats in the House based on final, official results.
- A majority consists of at least 218 seats.