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Data quality warningNo live quotesStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 8:29 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Before Jul 1, 2027Awaiting result
Before Jan 1, 2027Awaiting result
Before Sep 1, 2026Awaiting result
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
When will Samuel Alito retire as a Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court?
- This market will resolve to YES if Samuel Alito retires as a justice of the U.S. Supreme Court the named outcome.
- The outcome will be verified using statements from Samuel Alito or the Supreme Court, and reporting from Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, and The Washington Post.
- Resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation.
- If Samuel Alito leaves the role due to death while holding the position, contracts on this event may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless he formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? · Before Jul 1, 2027 35%
