GeminiLimited verified dataData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Jul 27, 2026, 3:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityBefore Jul 1, 2027 41.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
41.0% / 42.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 16, 26, 8:40 PMJul 1, 27, 4:01 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before Jul 1, 202742%
Related Markets
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$178SAVE Act becomes law?: 7.5%GEMINI
GEMINI
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
$53.5Yes: 17%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?
$5Todd Blanche: 85.5%GEMINI
GEMINI
Will the Trump family acquire a stake in Binance by the end of 2026?
$0Yes: 21.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Presidential Election Winner 2028?
$118JD Vance: 18.5%GEMINI
GEMINI
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
$83.3Yes: 10%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
BitMEX sued for allegedly profiting from customer Bitcoin liquidationsCrypto News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRules
When will Samuel Alito retire as a Justice of the U.S.
- Supreme Court?
- This market will resolve to YES if Samuel Alito retires as a justice of the U.S.
- Supreme Court before Jul 1, 2027.
- The outcome will be verified using statements from Samuel Alito or the Supreme Court, and reporting from Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, and The Washington Post.
- Resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation.