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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política

Política

7446 mercados relacionados acompanhados entre fontes para Política.

Mercados Abertos

4,135

Volume Total

$3,762,757,983

Volume 24h

$52,879,016

Liquidez Total

$1,155,350,556

Mercados Abertos

4,135

Volume Total

$3,762,757,983

Volume 24h

$52,879,016

Liquidez Total

$1,155,350,556

Tópicos Relacionados

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Ativos Cripto Relacionados

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Notícias Relacionadas

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Ativos Cripto Relacionados

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Guias relacionados

  • Melhores Mercados de Previsao em 2026: 10 Plataformas Comparadas
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  • Erros Comuns em Mercados de Previsao (2026): O Que Iniciantes Fazem Errado
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

2a
Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
24%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
-0.1%9%
Kamala Harris
Kamala Harris
8%

+125 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total1,2 mM US$
Volume 24h765 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

2a
Robert F. Kennedy
Robert F. Kennedy
49%
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
-0.3%34%
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
-1.8%24%

+125 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total655 M US$
Volume 24h611,3 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

2a
JD Vance
JD Vance
+0.1%15%
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
-0.8%15%
Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
-0.5%14%

+125 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total623,7 M US$
Volume 24h518,9 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

10m
Jordan Bardella
Jordan Bardella
+1.0%28%
Édouard Philippe
Édouard Philippe
18%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
13%

+125 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total96 M US$
Volume 24h968,6 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

4m
Xavier Becerra
Xavier Becerra
+0.3%88%
Steve Hilton
Steve Hilton
-0.3%7%
Rick Caruso
Rick Caruso
0%

+42 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total38,2 M US$
Volume 24h2,4 M US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

4.0%3m
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
+4.0%45%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro
-0.9%28%
Renan Santos
Renan Santos
-0.8%17%

+29 mais resultados

100 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total97,7 M US$
Volume 24h341,7 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

6m
Nicolás Maduro
Nicolás Maduro
-4.2%70%
Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez
-1.0%14%
María Corina Machado
María Corina Machado
-0.7%3%

+54 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total90,5 M US$
Volume 24h81,3 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

1.0%10d
Abelardo de la Espriella
Abelardo de la Espriella
+1.0%86%
Candidate M
Candidate M
50%
Iván Cepeda Castro
Iván Cepeda Castro
-1.0%14%

+25 mais resultados

89 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidez
Volume total36,4 M US$
Volume 24h103,7 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

0.1%6m
Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin Netanyahu
+5.0%40%
Gadi Eizenkot
Gadi Eizenkot
-0.3%27%
Naftali Bennett
Naftali Bennett
-4.0%24%

+25 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total14,6 M US$
Volume 24h230,1 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

0.5%4m
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
-0.7%10%
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
8%
Yulia Navalnaya
Yulia Navalnaya
8%

+68 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total20 M US$
Volume 24h74,3 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

1.5%3m
United Russia (ER)
United Russia (ER)
+1.5%56%
New People (NL)
New People (NL)
-0.9%36%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
-0.1%5%

+31 mais resultados

89 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total10,6 M US$
Volume 24h122,4 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

0.1%6d
Andy Burnham
Andy Burnham
+1.0%86%
Robert Kenyon
Robert Kenyon
-2.0%13%
Rebecca Shepherd
Rebecca Shepherd
-0.1%2%

+30 mais resultados

89 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidez
Volume total3,2 M US$
Volume 24h166,8 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

6m
Andy Burnham
Andy Burnham
+0.9%66%
No Next PM in 2026
No Next PM in 2026
23%
Ed Miliband
Ed Miliband
+1.3%4%

+58 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total9,6 M US$
Volume 24h31,6 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

3.5%19d
June 30
June 30
+6.0%31%
June 15
June 15
-1.5%18%
June 12
June 12
+3.5%11%

+1 mais resultados

100 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total1,5 M US$
Volume 24h932,2 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

30.4%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
+60.0%84%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%
-17.5%9%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
-30.4%4%

+20 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total909,6 mil US$
Volume 24h728,2 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

18d
Sim
Sim
1%
Não
Não
99%
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total6,8 M US$
Volume 24h42,4 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

4m
Democrats Sweep
Democrats Sweep
44%
R Senate, D
R Senate, D
37%
Republicans Sweep
Republicans Sweep
18%

+2 mais resultados

89 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total7,6 M US$
Volume 24h10 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

4m
Democratic Party
Democratic Party
82%
Republican Party
Republican Party
+1.0%20%
Other
Other
0%

+6 mais resultados

100 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidez
Volume total7,1 M US$
Volume 24h13,7 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

1.0%6m
Sim
Sim
-0.0%10%
Não
Não
+0.0%91%
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total9 M US$
Volume 24h6,1 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

3m
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro
+4.0%65%
Renan Santos
Renan Santos
+0.3%17%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
9%

+29 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total3,7 M US$
Volume 24h6,1 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

4m
Republican Party
Republican Party
55%
Democratic Party
Democratic Party
46%
Party A
Party A
0%

+6 mais resultados

100 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total2,7 M US$
Volume 24h11,4 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

0.5%2m
Byron Donalds
Byron Donalds
+1.0%92%
James Fishback
James Fishback
-0.5%7%
Jay Collins
Jay Collins
+0.5%2%

+20 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total1,7 M US$
Volume 24h9,3 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

1.0%6m
Petro - Colombia President
Petro - Colombia President
+1.0%60%
Starmer - UK PM
Starmer - UK PM
-3.5%20%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
+1.3%10%

+21 mais resultados

89 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total785,1 mil US$
Volume 24h11,3 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Maine Senate Election Winner

Maine Senate Election Winner

2.5%4m
Democrat
Democrat
+2.5%66%
Republican
Republican
-3.0%35%
Person A
Person A
0%

+10 mais resultados

100 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total478,5 mil US$
Volume 24h29,7 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

1.0%3a
James Talarico
James Talarico
+1.0%2%
Donald J. Trump Jr.
Donald J. Trump Jr.
+0.5%2%
Jon Ossoff
Jon Ossoff
+0.4%6%

+22 mais resultados

77 • Alta qualidadeSpread desconhecidoAlta liquidez
Volume total432,7 mil US$
Volume 24h6 mil US$
KalshiKALSHI
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

0.1%18d
Sim
Sim
1%
Não
Não
99%
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total3,5 M US$
Volume 24h45,4 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

4m
Ken Paxton (R)
Ken Paxton (R)
-1.0%57%
James Talarico (D)
James Talarico (D)
43%
Person B
Person B
0%

+10 mais resultados

100 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total489,3 mil US$
Volume 24h5,7 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

6m
Sim
Sim
9%
Não
Não
92%
64 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total7,2 M US$
Volume 24h2 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

0.5%6m
Sim
Sim
11%
Não
Não
+0.0%90%
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total2,4 M US$
Volume 24h14,6 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory

11d
Other
Other
50%
Espriella 5-10%
Espriella 5-10%
31%
Espriella 10-15%
Espriella 10-15%
-5.0%28%

+3 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total87,7 mil US$
Volume 24h9,1 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Berlin State Election Winner

Berlin State Election Winner

1.0%3m
CDU
CDU
+1.0%30%
Linke
Linke
+1.0%22%
Grüne
Grüne
+0.1%22%

+21 mais resultados

80 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total2,7 M US$
Volume 24h4,4 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

6.0%4m
Other
Other
46%
Democrats 8-10%
Democrats 8-10%
-0.5%19%
Democrats 6-8%
Democrats 6-8%
+6.0%18%

+11 mais resultados

89 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total56,4 mil US$
Volume 24h5,5 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

1.3%6d
Robert Kenyon
Robert Kenyon
-1.0%83%
Andy Burnham
Andy Burnham
+1.8%9%
Rebecca Shepherd
Rebecca Shepherd
-1.3%4%

+30 mais resultados

89 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidez
Volume total66,8 mil US$
Volume 24h10,4 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
2028 Democratic presidential nominee

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

0.2%2a
Graham Platner
Graham Platner
+0.2%1%
Wes Moore
Wes Moore
-0.5%2%
Hunter Biden
Hunter Biden
-0.1%2%

+22 mais resultados

64 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total1,2 M US$
Volume 24h4,6 mil US$
KalshiKALSHI
Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

11.9%6m
John Ratcliffe
John Ratcliffe
+3.9%19%
No announcement by December 31
No announcement by December 31
-11.9%15%
Pete Hoekstra
Pete Hoekstra
15%

+48 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total84,6 mil US$
Volume 24h5,1 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Ukraine election called by...?

Ukraine election called by...?

3.5%6m
December
December
-3.5%14%
June 30,
June 30,
-0.3%2%
December 31, 2025
December 31, 2025
-0.1%0%

+1 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total1,6 M US$
Volume 24h8,1 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

11.5%18d
July 31
July 31
-1.0%72%
June 30
June 30
-11.5%22%
June 15
June 15
+1.9%5%

+5 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total1,3 M US$
Volume 24h8 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

3m
Magdalena Andersson
Magdalena Andersson
77%
Ulf Kristersson
Ulf Kristersson
21%
Jimmie Åkesson
Jimmie Åkesson
-0.6%2%

+33 mais resultados

64 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total2,1 M US$
Volume 24h1,5 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

4.0%11m
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
-4.0%34%
Karen Bass
Karen Bass
+2.0%65%
Rick Caruso
Rick Caruso
0%

+7 mais resultados

91 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total828 mil US$
Volume 24h3,4 mil US$
KalshiKALSHI
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

3m
United Russia (ER)
United Russia (ER)
+0.1%96%
New People (NL)
New People (NL)
+0.1%2%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
+0.1%1%

+31 mais resultados

64 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total1,5 M US$
Volume 24h1,9 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

0.5%3m
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
91%
Moderate Party (M)
Moderate Party (M)
4%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
Sweden Democrats (SD)
-0.5%4%

+33 mais resultados

64 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total1,1 M US$
Volume 24h2,6 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

12.1%18d
December 31
December 31
-2.4%97%
June 30
June 30
+12.1%14%
July 31
July 31
0%

+1 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total321,1 mil US$
Volume 24h22,2 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Alaska Governor Election Winner

Alaska Governor Election Winner

5.2%4m
Tom Begich
Tom Begich
+2.0%31%
Bernadette Wilson
Bernadette Wilson
25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
-0.1%16%

+37 mais resultados

64 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total1 M US$
Volume 24h2,4 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Quebec General Election Winner

Quebec General Election Winner

6.0%3m
PQ
PQ
-0.5%54%
PLQ
PLQ
-8.5%26%
CAQ
CAQ
+6.0%20%

+30 mais resultados

64 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total564,8 mil US$
Volume 24h4,9 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

1.5%18d
Sim
Sim
+0.0%13%
Não
Não
-0.0%87%
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total465,2 mil US$
Volume 24h7,4 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

1.6%6m
Sim
Sim
-0.0%11%
Não
Não
+0.0%90%
100 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total417,5 mil US$
Volume 24h5,5 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

2a
Scott Wiener
Scott Wiener
70.1%
Bruce Lou
Bruce Lou
0.1%
Christine Pelosi
Christine Pelosi
0.3%

+6 mais resultados

Previsão da comunidade153 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
Volume total1,2 M US$
Volume 24h1 mil US$
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

7.5%3m
Renan Santos
Renan Santos
+7.5%51%
Romeu Zema
Romeu Zema
-5.0%16%
Ronaldo Caiado
Ronaldo Caiado
-0.5%14%

+29 mais resultados

64 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total320,9 mil US$
Volume 24h1,8 mil US$
PolymarketPOLYMARKET