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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleiçãoBusiness & Corporate1a
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 39%+1.0%
Qualidade do mercado

49 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

12,3 €

Liquidez

1,1 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

38.0% / 39.0%

Spread

2.6%

Spread apertado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 8 minutos

29/12/25, 15:003/11/27, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes39%

Manifold MarketsTambém disponível em Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

6m
Manifold Markets
Sim
35%
Manifold Markets
Não
65%
Previsão da comunidade418 previsoresTipo: binary
Volume total211,4 mil €
Volume 24h4,2 mil €
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Regras

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A referendum "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple majority, supermajority, or other threshold), meets any minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable, and is certified as passed by the official electoral authority.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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9,5 €
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Regras

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A referendum "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple majority, supermajority, or other threshold), meets any minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable, and is certified as passed by the official electoral authority.