Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?
RegulamentaçãoOne-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleiçãoBusiness & Corporate3m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 71%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
3,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
26.0% / 28.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
16/05/26, 21:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
If California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- For purposes of this market, California’s 2026 billionaire tax becomes legally operative only if the measure is approved by voters and is not superseded, blocked, or rendered inoperative by any higher-vote conflicting ballot measure approved at the same election.
- Reporting that the measure merely received more Yes than No votes does not qualify unless the report also indicates that the measure will become operative, enforceable, or legally effective. “Legally operative” does not require that any tax has been collected, paid, assessed, or become due.
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will California’s billionaire tax take effect??
- A Kalshi cota No em 71% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will California’s billionaire tax take effect? é resolvido?
- Will California’s billionaire tax take effect? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will California’s billionaire tax take effect? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.