Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoBusiness & Corporate3m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualSim 91%
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
41,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
91.6% / 95.9%
Spread
4.7%
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
1/11/25, 14:003/11/26, 4:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes91%
Comparar plataformas· Yes
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral61% de correspondência · verificado | Média | 100% | — | 2,6 mil € | 0 € | há 29 dias | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Baixa | 91% | — | 0 € | 41,5 mil € | há 17 minutos |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
38.5%Fechados
Resolvido
Sim (100%)
+0.4%100%
-0.4%0%
63 • Qualidade médiaSpread apertadoBaixa liquidez
Volume total217,2 mil €
Volume 24h2,6 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
- Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
- The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
- The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$102 de jul.22d de dados25 de jul.
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If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
- Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
- The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
- The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.