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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoBusiness & Corporate4m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 84%-2.0%
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

9,5 €

Liquidez

264 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

77.0% / 82.0%

Spread

6.5%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

1/11/25, 14:003/11/26, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes84%

PolymarketTambém disponível em Polymarket

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

1.0%13d
Sim
Sim
-0.0%88%
Não
Não
+0.0%13%
60 • Qualidade médiaSpread moderadoLiquidez média
Volume total115,5 mil €
Volume 24h13,9 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regras

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
  • Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
  • The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
  • The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,741.94+1.93%EthereumETH$1,655.80+1.23%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.61%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.31%XRPXRP$1.12+0.44%BNBBNB$599.21+2.18%

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Regras

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
  • Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
  • The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
  • The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.