Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
2.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoMiddle EastChessEsportes1a
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualBenjamin Netanyahu 33%-2.0%Líder entre 18 opções
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,7 mil €
Liquidez
35,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
33.0% / 36.0%
Spread
9.1%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 minutos
11/04/26, 0:0027/10/27, 14:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Benjamin Netanyahu33%
Comparar plataformas· Gadi Eisenkot
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral83% de correspondência · verificado | Média | 52% | -1pt | 455,3 mil € | 2 M € | há 7 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Média | 52% | -1pt | 1,7 mil € | 35,4 mil € | há 27 minutos | |
 Futuur68% de correspondência · vinculado | Baixa | 53% | 0pt | 0 € | 3,1 mil € | há 27 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless83% de correspondência · vinculado | Baixa | 52% | -1pt | 0 € | 0 € | há 27 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets83% de correspondência · vinculado | — | 46% | -7pt | — | — | há 35 dias | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets78% de correspondência · vinculado | — | 51% | -2pt | — | — | há 8 dias | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets83% de correspondência · vinculado | — | 48% | -5pt | — | — | há 8 dias | Abrir → |
 PredictIt69% de correspondência · auto | — | 3% | -50pt | — | — | há 27 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
5m
+3.5%52%
-3.0%34%
-1.0%7%
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73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total26,1 M €
Volume 24h455,3 mil €
POLYMARKETTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3a
46%
23.7%
17.4%
+13 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade49 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Limitless
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1a
52%
50%
50%
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28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
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Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
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5m
48.3%
18.3%
18.1%
+4 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade7 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election?
3m
+8.1%51.2%
-0.5%37.5%
-7.6%7.7%
+10 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade100 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em PredictIt
Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
9.0%3a
-9.0%42%
16%
-3.0%9%
+6 mais resultados
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITTambém disponível em Futuur
Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election
3m
53%
37%
9%
44 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoLiquidez médiaAlta ambiguidade
Volume total879,4 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURRegras
If Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- If Naftali Bennett becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
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If Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- If Naftali Bennett becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.